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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.18+1.52vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.32-0.46vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.23+0.70vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.13-0.13vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.81-0.90vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-1.38-1.14vs Predicted
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8Denison University-1.58-1.84vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-2.63-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
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1.54Tufts University2.320.6%1st Place
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3.7Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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3.87Michigan State University0.130.1%1st Place
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5.1Ohio State University-0.810.0%1st Place
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5.86University of Notre Dame-1.380.0%1st Place
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6.16Denison University-1.580.0%1st Place
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7.23University of Toledo-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Hamilton | 19.8% | 35.4% | 25.2% | 13.4% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 60.4% | 27.4% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Susan Riley | 7.8% | 13.0% | 25.2% | 24.6% | 17.7% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Alexandria Zimmerman | 6.0% | 13.5% | 21.3% | 24.8% | 20.6% | 9.1% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 16.8% | 22.9% | 26.1% | 14.9% | 4.0% |
| Molly LaFave | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 18.7% | 23.3% | 27.0% | 13.9% |
| Hanora Lucey | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 23.5% | 28.8% | 21.1% |
| Margaret Hill | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 8.6% | 21.8% | 60.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.