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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.32+0.54vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.18+0.58vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.81+2.09vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.23-1.26vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.38-0.15vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University0.13-3.17vs Predicted
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8Denison University-1.58-1.83vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-2.63-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54Tufts University2.320.6%1st Place
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2.58University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
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5.09Ohio State University-0.810.0%1st Place
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3.74Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Notre Dame-1.380.0%1st Place
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3.83Michigan State University0.130.1%1st Place
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6.17Denison University-1.580.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Toledo-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Klement | 61.5% | 26.2% | 9.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 18.1% | 36.7% | 24.2% | 13.6% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 23.3% | 24.2% | 15.4% | 5.0% |
| Susan Riley | 7.0% | 14.3% | 22.8% | 25.7% | 18.1% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Molly LaFave | 1.5% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 16.3% | 25.0% | 27.0% | 13.2% |
| Alexandria Zimmerman | 6.5% | 12.0% | 23.7% | 25.7% | 18.1% | 10.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Hanora Lucey | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 12.9% | 21.3% | 31.4% | 20.1% |
| Margaret Hill | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 20.0% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.