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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.18+1.54vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.32-0.47vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-0.81+2.05vs Predicted
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4Denison University-1.58+2.16vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.13-1.15vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-1.38-1.17vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.23-4.20vs Predicted
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9University of Toledo-2.63-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
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1.53Tufts University2.320.6%1st Place
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5.05Ohio State University-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.16Denison University-1.580.0%1st Place
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3.85Michigan State University0.130.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Notre Dame-1.380.0%1st Place
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3.8Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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7.25University of Toledo-2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Hamilton | 20.6% | 33.9% | 25.3% | 13.2% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 61.0% | 27.7% | 9.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 2.5% | 5.4% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 21.6% | 25.9% | 14.0% | 4.8% |
| Hanora Lucey | 0.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 14.1% | 19.2% | 33.0% | 19.1% |
| Alexandria Zimmerman | 6.6% | 11.8% | 22.0% | 26.8% | 19.0% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Molly LaFave | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 16.5% | 24.5% | 26.6% | 13.3% |
| Susan Riley | 7.0% | 14.1% | 21.6% | 24.7% | 18.4% | 10.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Margaret Hill | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 20.2% | 61.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.