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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.18+1.52vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.32-0.44vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.23+0.72vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.13-1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-2.63+1.26vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-0.81-1.92vs Predicted
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8Denison University-1.58-1.84vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.38-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
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1.56Tufts University2.320.6%1st Place
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3.72Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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3.88Michigan State University0.130.1%1st Place
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7.26University of Toledo-2.630.0%1st Place
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5.08Ohio State University-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.16Denison University-1.580.0%1st Place
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5.82University of Notre Dame-1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Hamilton | 19.5% | 36.0% | 26.0% | 12.3% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 59.7% | 27.7% | 9.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Susan Riley | 7.8% | 13.2% | 24.3% | 24.1% | 18.7% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Alexandria Zimmerman | 6.3% | 12.9% | 20.0% | 27.3% | 19.5% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Margaret Hill | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 19.7% | 63.0% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 3.0% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 24.3% | 23.0% | 15.6% | 4.8% |
| Hanora Lucey | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 23.3% | 31.5% | 19.1% |
| Molly LaFave | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 17.4% | 26.8% | 26.4% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.