← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University0.97+4.39vs Predicted
-
2McGill University0.41+2.44vs Predicted
-
3Olin College of Engineering0.22+1.64vs Predicted
-
4Fairfield University0.42+0.16vs Predicted
-
5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+0.23vs Predicted
-
6Brandeis University-0.66+1.23vs Predicted
-
7Middlebury College0.03-1.78vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-0.32vs Predicted
-
9Bates College-0.70-2.40vs Predicted
-
10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.36+0.61vs Predicted
-
11Bentley University-1.10-2.80vs Predicted
-
12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.39Salve Regina University0.9710.2%1st Place
-
4.44McGill University0.4115.6%1st Place
-
4.64Olin College of Engineering0.2214.8%1st Place
-
4.16Fairfield University0.4215.7%1st Place
-
5.23University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.029.9%1st Place
-
7.23Brandeis University-0.665.2%1st Place
-
5.22Middlebury College0.0310.2%1st Place
-
7.68University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.974.9%1st Place
-
6.6Bates College-0.706.8%1st Place
-
10.61Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.360.9%1st Place
-
8.2Bentley University-1.102.9%1st Place
-
8.6Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.312.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Genevieve Lau | 15.6% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 14.8% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 15.7% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Delong | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Myles Hazen | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 4.6% |
| Walter Chiles | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 7.5% |
| Colby Green | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Owen Peterson | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 15.3% | 58.7% |
| Wilfred Hynes | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 10.2% |
| Jackson Harney | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 22.3% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.