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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+1.84vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.37+3.14vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.45+2.37vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08+3.17vs Predicted
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5McGill University-0.73+1.13vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.65-0.65vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering-0.96-0.45vs Predicted
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8Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.82+0.58vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.01+0.13vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-1.80-1.53vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.51-0.97vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.59-8.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Salve Regina University0.4629.2%1st Place
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5.14Middlebury College-0.379.2%1st Place
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5.37Bentley University-0.458.2%1st Place
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7.17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.7%1st Place
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6.13McGill University-0.735.1%1st Place
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5.35Bates College-0.658.5%1st Place
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6.55Olin College of Engineering-0.964.9%1st Place
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8.58Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.822.7%1st Place
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9.13Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.011.9%1st Place
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8.47Brandeis University-1.802.5%1st Place
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10.03University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.510.9%1st Place
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3.23Fairfield University0.5923.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 29.2% | 23.0% | 17.4% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| John O'Connell | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Kai Latham | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 4.1% |
| Curtis Mallory | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Greta Shuster | 8.5% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Ely | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Jessica Elmhurst | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 16.3% | 19.6% | 14.2% |
| Jason Dank | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 20.2% | 20.8% |
| Mirra Blehert | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 14.2% |
| Sara Donahue | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 18.8% | 41.8% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 23.2% | 20.3% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.