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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.20+1.33vs Predicted
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22.16+0.33vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-0.74vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.64+0.11vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.66+0.61vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University-0.40-0.69vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.22-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Tufts University2.200.3%1st Place
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2.332.160.3%1st Place
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2.26Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.3%1st Place
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4.11Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.61University of New Hampshire-0.660.0%1st Place
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5.31Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.05University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Keller | 30.0% | 30.2% | 23.4% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sam Rush | 28.7% | 29.0% | 26.9% | 11.9% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 31.9% | 28.2% | 25.3% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 5.2% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 35.3% | 25.5% | 11.7% | 2.0% |
| Ella Cedarholm | 1.1% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 9.6% | 23.4% | 31.9% | 28.1% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 1.7% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 13.4% | 27.8% | 30.6% | 19.0% |
| Joshua Linker | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 24.6% | 50.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.