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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+1.91vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.59+1.22vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.45+2.51vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.73+2.03vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.65+0.09vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08+1.22vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering-0.96-0.42vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.37-2.83vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.82-0.37vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.01-0.95vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.51-0.95vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-1.80-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Salve Regina University0.4629.1%1st Place
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3.22Fairfield University0.5921.3%1st Place
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5.51Bentley University-0.458.0%1st Place
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6.03McGill University-0.736.7%1st Place
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5.09Bates College-0.6510.4%1st Place
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7.22University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.084.0%1st Place
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6.58Olin College of Engineering-0.964.9%1st Place
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5.17Middlebury College-0.379.3%1st Place
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8.63Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.821.8%1st Place
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9.05Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.011.3%1st Place
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10.05University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.510.8%1st Place
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8.54Brandeis University-1.802.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 29.1% | 21.2% | 17.5% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 21.3% | 22.3% | 18.8% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Curtis Mallory | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Greta Shuster | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Kai Latham | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
| Benjamin Ely | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Penelope Weekes | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jessica Elmhurst | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 16.5% | 17.2% | 15.2% |
| Jason Dank | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 19.4% | 20.5% |
| Sara Donahue | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 18.8% | 41.3% |
| Mirra Blehert | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.