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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.30vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.20+0.30vs Predicted
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32.16-0.65vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.64+0.11vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.66+0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.22+0.14vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-0.40-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.3%1st Place
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2.3Tufts University2.200.3%1st Place
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2.352.160.3%1st Place
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4.11Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.62University of New Hampshire-0.660.0%1st Place
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6.14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.220.0%1st Place
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5.18Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 31.7% | 28.9% | 23.3% | 11.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 29.8% | 28.4% | 27.5% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rush | 29.1% | 28.4% | 25.0% | 13.7% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 5.0% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 34.4% | 25.4% | 11.5% | 2.3% |
| Ella Cedarholm | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 10.0% | 22.5% | 31.5% | 29.2% |
| Joshua Linker | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 5.5% | 13.9% | 23.8% | 53.0% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 2.9% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 14.1% | 28.0% | 31.5% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.