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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.20+1.34vs Predicted
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22.16+0.34vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-0.73vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.64+0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.22+1.16vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.66-0.39vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University-0.40-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34Tufts University2.200.3%1st Place
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2.342.160.3%1st Place
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2.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.3%1st Place
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4.1Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.220.0%1st Place
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5.61University of New Hampshire-0.660.0%1st Place
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5.17Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Keller | 29.8% | 29.7% | 23.7% | 11.7% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sam Rush | 28.7% | 28.4% | 26.7% | 12.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 31.6% | 28.0% | 25.2% | 12.1% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 5.0% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 35.0% | 25.4% | 11.4% | 2.1% |
| Joshua Linker | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.9% | 13.8% | 22.5% | 54.7% |
| Ella Cedarholm | 1.4% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 9.6% | 22.8% | 31.7% | 28.8% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 13.8% | 28.1% | 32.9% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.