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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.29vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.20+0.29vs Predicted
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32.16-0.65vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.64+0.11vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University-0.40+0.31vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.22+0.16vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.66-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.3%1st Place
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2.29Tufts University2.200.3%1st Place
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2.352.160.3%1st Place
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4.11Fairfield University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.31Sacred Heart University-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.220.0%1st Place
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5.49University of New Hampshire-0.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frank Reeg | 31.7% | 29.2% | 23.2% | 11.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Keller | 29.9% | 28.7% | 27.2% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Rush | 29.2% | 27.8% | 26.3% | 12.8% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 5.0% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 35.3% | 24.3% | 12.0% | 2.3% |
| Rebecca Rutkiewicz | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 13.2% | 29.2% | 30.5% | 18.4% |
| Joshua Linker | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 5.5% | 12.9% | 23.5% | 54.3% |
| Ella Cedarholm | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 10.8% | 23.5% | 32.6% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.