Race 1A

reed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Rosalind Lesh 4.4% 8.0% 7.7% 5.7% 6.8% 6.5% 7.4% 5.8% 6.0% 7.0% 7.3% 6.7% 6.2% 7.4% 4.9% 2.2%
Allyson Donahue 8.4% 9.7% 6.8% 9.7% 7.2% 6.2% 7.5% 7.1% 7.2% 6.3% 6.6% 5.9% 4.6% 3.1% 2.2% 1.5%
Nikole Barnes 11.1% 9.5% 9.7% 9.9% 9.8% 7.6% 7.8% 8.9% 5.9% 6.3% 3.9% 2.9% 3.1% 2.0% 1.2% 0.4%
Hannah Polster 7.6% 8.8% 9.5% 8.5% 6.8% 8.5% 6.8% 7.0% 7.1% 6.2% 5.2% 6.1% 5.7% 3.4% 1.9% 0.9%
Erin Mullins 5.4% 6.4% 6.0% 6.3% 6.7% 7.2% 6.7% 7.7% 6.0% 6.2% 8.1% 6.9% 6.9% 7.3% 4.9% 1.3%
Charlotte List 3.1% 2.5% 3.3% 4.6% 3.9% 5.1% 5.8% 5.6% 6.1% 6.1% 6.0% 7.3% 8.0% 9.8% 11.5% 11.3%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 9.2% 6.7% 8.8% 7.8% 7.7% 7.6% 6.8% 7.2% 6.8% 6.6% 5.8% 6.6% 5.5% 3.7% 2.7% 0.5%
Megan Yeigh 5.4% 7.4% 6.3% 6.0% 6.1% 6.2% 6.0% 7.0% 6.3% 6.9% 8.3% 7.4% 7.1% 5.1% 4.9% 3.6%
Casey Klingler 6.1% 5.4% 6.6% 6.7% 6.4% 6.5% 8.2% 5.8% 7.5% 6.7% 6.7% 7.8% 5.4% 5.4% 5.1% 3.7%
Sarah Williams 8.0% 5.5% 6.3% 7.4% 6.4% 7.7% 6.4% 7.8% 8.7% 8.3% 6.3% 6.5% 5.1% 4.5% 3.5% 1.6%
MaryClaire Kiernan 5.8% 5.3% 5.4% 5.7% 5.6% 6.1% 4.8% 6.8% 6.3% 6.9% 8.2% 6.7% 8.7% 7.3% 6.1% 4.3%
Shannon Killian 2.7% 2.2% 2.4% 2.2% 3.2% 2.8% 3.7% 4.2% 4.9% 4.8% 6.0% 5.9% 6.0% 10.9% 15.3% 22.8%
Rachel Bryer 13.7% 12.5% 11.6% 9.2% 10.9% 9.1% 7.2% 6.0% 4.9% 5.3% 3.2% 2.8% 2.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Taylor Ladd 4.4% 4.6% 5.0% 5.1% 5.6% 5.6% 6.1% 4.8% 7.7% 7.3% 6.9% 7.3% 8.5% 8.4% 6.7% 6.0%
Sarah De Silva 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 2.9% 4.6% 4.8% 6.1% 4.5% 5.4% 5.1% 6.3% 8.3% 9.5% 10.8% 12.9% 8.5%
Janel DeCurtis 1.4% 1.8% 1.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.5% 2.7% 3.8% 3.2% 4.0% 5.2% 4.9% 7.7% 9.7% 16.0% 31.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.