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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+5.98vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.06+6.13vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+3.83vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.48vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.21+2.65vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.49+4.37vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.08+4.76vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.86+4.25vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-0.77vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-0.57vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.99-2.57vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.52-1.79vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.38-6.01vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.84-8.72vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-8.84vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.91-7.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.13Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.83Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.0%1st Place
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7.65Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.37Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.76Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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12.25Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.23Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.43Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.43University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.21Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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6.99Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.28University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.82Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte List | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.7% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 17.5% | 22.9% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 30.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Sarah De Silva | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.1% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.