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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.95vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+5.00vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.35vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+4.61vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+3.21vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+1.10vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.91+1.84vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.42-1.34vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-0.91vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86+2.40vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-1.72vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.34-1.25vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.49-2.76vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-5.87vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.08-3.20vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.21-8.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.0Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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8.21Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.1Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.84Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.66Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.09Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.4Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.28Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.75Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.24Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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11.8Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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7.6Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.3% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 29.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 14.6% |
| Charlotte List | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 16.6% | 20.8% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.