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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.06+7.01vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.08+9.56vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.38+4.01vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+1.54vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.05vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05+2.24vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.86+5.34vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91+0.66vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-1.99vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.49+0.40vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.73vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-2.65vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.42-6.24vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.21-6.58vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.34-4.03vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.99-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.01Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.56Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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7.01Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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5.54University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.24Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.34Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.66Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.01Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.4Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.35Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.76Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.97Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.43University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Mullins | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 21.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.1% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 16.4% | 30.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Charlotte List | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Williams | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 12.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.