← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.91vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.42+4.76vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College3.06+5.22vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.21+3.78vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island3.84+0.46vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.35+1.19vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.75+2.43vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+0.19vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.38-2.06vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College2.49+0.38vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.52-0.84vs Predicted
-
12Yale University3.05-3.73vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.91-4.28vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University1.86-1.68vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University2.08-3.18vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont2.99-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
6.76Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.22Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
7.78Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
5.46University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
7.19Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
9.43Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
-
8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
6.94Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
10.38Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
10.16Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
-
8.27Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.72Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
-
12.32Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
-
11.82Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
-
8.46University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% |
| Charlotte List | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 9.5% |
| Sarah De Silva | 3.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 30.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 22.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.