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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.93vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+5.00vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.21+4.63vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+5.54vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+0.44vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+1.08vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42-0.10vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.06+0.08vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.86+3.33vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.52+0.30vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-2.22vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.08-0.32vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.05-4.82vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-5.83vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.99-6.46vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.49-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.0Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.63Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.54Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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5.44University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.08Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.9Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.08Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.33Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.3Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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11.68Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.18Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.54University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.43Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 6.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.4% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 10.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 17.3% | 28.6% |
| Sarah De Silva | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 24.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Charlotte List | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.