← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.20vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.42+4.69vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+5.23vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University2.75+5.38vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.05+3.09vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.38+1.01vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University2.52+3.18vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College1.98+3.74vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont2.99-0.74vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University1.86+2.38vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-4.99vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College3.06-3.90vs Predicted
-
13Boston College3.35-6.10vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.91-5.49vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College3.21-7.41vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University2.08-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.2University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
6.69Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
-
9.38Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
-
8.09Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
7.01Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
10.18Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
-
11.74Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
-
8.26University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
12.38Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
-
6.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.1Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
-
6.9Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
8.51Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
-
7.59Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
-
11.73Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 14.2% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 4.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 1.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Sarah De Silva | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.6% |
| Emilia Clementi | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 22.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 28.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.