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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.59+2.07vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+0.74vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08+3.91vs Predicted
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4Olin College of Engineering-0.96+2.25vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-0.45+0.14vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.65-0.94vs Predicted
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7Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.82+1.30vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.37-3.11vs Predicted
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9McGill University-0.73-3.17vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.01-1.45vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.51-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Fairfield University0.5923.8%1st Place
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2.74Salve Regina University0.4629.9%1st Place
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6.91University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.084.0%1st Place
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6.25Olin College of Engineering-0.965.1%1st Place
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5.14Bentley University-0.458.7%1st Place
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5.06Bates College-0.657.2%1st Place
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8.3Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.821.6%1st Place
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4.89Middlebury College-0.379.8%1st Place
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5.83McGill University-0.737.2%1st Place
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8.55Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.011.5%1st Place
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9.27University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.511.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 23.8% | 22.4% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 29.9% | 23.4% | 17.8% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Latham | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 5.9% |
| Benjamin Ely | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 7.3% | 3.4% |
| John O'Connell | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Greta Shuster | 7.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Jessica Elmhurst | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 23.3% | 18.7% |
| Penelope Weekes | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Curtis Mallory | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Jason Dank | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 23.8% | 24.0% |
| Sara Donahue | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 19.8% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.