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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.22vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+6.12vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.06+5.11vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.52+6.21vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+1.80vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.06vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+1.16vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-1.16vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.86+3.21vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.98+1.99vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-2.38vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-5.03vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.21-5.55vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.99-5.78vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.08-3.28vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.75-6.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.11Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.21Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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6.8Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.16Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.84Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.21Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.99Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.62Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.97Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.22University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.72Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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9.32Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 13.9% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Sarah De Silva | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 26.2% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 22.5% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 20.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.