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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+5.79vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+4.91vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+6.22vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.21+3.62vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+0.34vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+2.31vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.90vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.52+1.98vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-0.39vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99-1.61vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.98+0.84vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.42-5.21vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.06-4.95vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.05-6.03vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.86-2.62vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.08-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.91Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.22Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.62Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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5.34University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.98Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.84Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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6.79Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.05Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.97Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.38Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.71Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% |
| Sarah Williams | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 12.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Sarah De Silva | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 23.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 18.7% | 27.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.