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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+7.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+6.64vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+5.19vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+3.15vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.10vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.49+4.35vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.86+5.40vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75+1.29vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.21-1.42vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.06-1.74vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.84-5.58vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.42-5.09vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-4.56vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.52-3.91vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.35-7.82vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.08-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.64Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
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8.19Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.15Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.35Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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12.4Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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9.29Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.58Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.26Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.91Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.44University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.09Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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7.18Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.83Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte List | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 11.9% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 32.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 4.9% |
| Sarah Williams | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Erin Mullins | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.9% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Sarah De Silva | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 8.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.