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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.97vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+5.01vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+2.43vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.99+4.61vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+1.94vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.86+6.41vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.49+3.40vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.05+0.10vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.52+1.16vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-1.60vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-1.64vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.08-0.34vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.06-4.80vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.21-6.57vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.38-7.91vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.91-7.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.01Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.43University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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6.94Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.41Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.4Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.1Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.16Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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8.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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9.36Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.66Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.2Bowdoin College3.060.0%1st Place
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7.43Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.09Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.83Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 31.3% |
| Charlotte List | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 10.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 16.0% | 22.3% |
| Erin Mullins | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.