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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.98vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.99+6.37vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+4.07vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+2.96vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.06+3.22vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84-0.52vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.21+0.69vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91+0.61vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-0.71vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.49+0.39vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.38-4.00vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-2.68vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.05-4.83vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.86-1.67vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.08-3.14vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.52-5.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.37University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.07Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.96Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.22Bowdoin College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.69Dartmouth College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.61Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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10.39Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.0Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.32Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.17Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.33Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.86Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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10.26Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 11.0% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Erin Mullins | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.4% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Williams | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Charlotte List | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 8.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.8% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 30.5% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 22.1% |
| Sarah De Silva | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.