Race 1B

reed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lydia Grasberger 5.8% 7.7% 7.5% 7.6% 6.3% 7.2% 7.1% 6.9% 6.8% 6.8% 5.3% 6.9% 7.1% 4.0% 5.0% 2.0%
Marly Isler 6.1% 7.4% 5.8% 6.8% 6.4% 6.9% 6.8% 6.9% 7.0% 6.6% 5.7% 7.7% 6.2% 5.3% 5.2% 3.2%
Emily Petno 4.9% 4.6% 4.0% 3.7% 6.0% 5.6% 5.7% 6.5% 6.5% 5.9% 7.1% 8.0% 9.5% 8.7% 8.0% 5.3%
Victoria McGruer 2.0% 2.9% 3.8% 3.3% 4.4% 4.3% 4.5% 4.5% 3.5% 5.2% 5.4% 7.8% 9.2% 10.6% 13.6% 15.0%
Taylor Gavula 5.2% 4.9% 5.4% 5.7% 6.6% 6.8% 5.9% 6.3% 7.2% 7.1% 7.6% 6.2% 7.5% 8.1% 6.4% 3.1%
Dana Rohde 11.2% 11.3% 12.0% 10.1% 9.8% 8.4% 6.9% 5.7% 5.6% 5.2% 4.7% 4.1% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Courtney Koos 5.6% 4.6% 6.3% 4.9% 5.0% 5.3% 5.3% 6.5% 6.7% 7.7% 6.4% 7.0% 7.6% 9.4% 7.0% 4.7%
Sarah Hermus 12.4% 11.2% 10.3% 8.9% 9.3% 7.4% 6.9% 8.6% 6.8% 4.8% 4.8% 2.9% 2.1% 2.4% 1.0% 0.2%
Alexandra Maurillo 4.9% 4.6% 4.6% 5.9% 5.1% 6.2% 6.1% 6.1% 7.3% 5.4% 8.1% 7.1% 7.5% 7.2% 7.6% 6.3%
Amina Brown 7.7% 6.7% 6.3% 7.2% 6.4% 7.6% 9.4% 8.9% 7.3% 6.9% 6.7% 4.8% 5.0% 4.8% 3.4% 0.9%
Kelsey Shakin 5.1% 4.9% 3.5% 5.0% 4.2% 5.5% 4.1% 5.9% 5.9% 5.9% 6.7% 7.9% 8.7% 8.4% 9.9% 8.4%
Jennifer Killian 1.5% 1.7% 1.4% 2.4% 1.9% 1.8% 2.8% 2.1% 3.3% 3.8% 6.4% 3.9% 5.2% 10.1% 13.1% 38.6%
Annie Hughes 5.2% 6.6% 6.6% 6.1% 6.2% 6.0% 7.2% 5.7% 7.5% 7.5% 7.3% 7.3% 6.2% 5.6% 5.7% 3.3%
Isabella Loosbrock 9.4% 8.7% 10.5% 9.0% 8.7% 8.2% 8.2% 6.5% 5.8% 7.4% 4.4% 5.3% 3.3% 3.1% 1.3% 0.2%
Lindsey Baab 9.8% 8.0% 8.0% 8.6% 9.7% 7.7% 7.5% 7.0% 7.5% 7.1% 5.7% 4.7% 4.0% 2.5% 1.7% 0.5%
Kate Shaner 3.2% 4.2% 4.0% 4.8% 4.0% 5.1% 5.6% 5.9% 5.3% 6.7% 7.7% 8.4% 8.8% 8.2% 10.2% 7.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.