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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.37+6.57vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.45+3.88vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.58+5.22vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.34+2.43vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.48+4.70vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.99+2.57vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.57+2.35vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.02-1.11vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.82+3.01vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.69+2.66vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.27-0.68vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.25-5.39vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.07+0.02vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.40-7.60vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-4.28vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.20-1.86vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.06-5.75vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.20-6.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Brown University2.377.1%1st Place
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5.88Harvard University2.4510.3%1st Place
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8.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.586.2%1st Place
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6.43Dartmouth College2.3410.7%1st Place
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9.7Bowdoin College1.484.2%1st Place
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8.57Brown University1.996.2%1st Place
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9.35Yale University1.575.7%1st Place
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6.89Boston College2.028.9%1st Place
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12.01University of Rhode Island0.822.5%1st Place
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12.66Northeastern University0.692.3%1st Place
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10.32Tufts University1.273.4%1st Place
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6.61Yale University2.258.9%1st Place
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13.02Boston University1.071.8%1st Place
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6.4Roger Williams University2.4010.0%1st Place
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10.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.733.6%1st Place
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14.14Salve Regina University0.201.6%1st Place
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11.25University of Vermont1.063.2%1st Place
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11.26Connecticut College1.203.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Behrens | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Robby Meek | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ulmer | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Chase Decker | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michelangelo Vecchio | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Audrey Foley | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Jack Redmond | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Owen Grainger | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% |
| Gavin Hudson | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 13.6% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Porter Bell | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 17.2% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Jack Schneider | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 29.8% |
| Ethan Burt | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.