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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.76+7.86vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.67+7.29vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+2.82vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.50+5.67vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.61+0.31vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.08+5.59vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii3.36+3.39vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+2.46vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-0.60vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.53-0.11vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.76-2.20vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-2.27vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.29-2.47vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.52-4.62vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-5.14vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.50-6.14vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan2.35-2.62vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.68-9.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.86Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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9.29Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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5.82Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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9.67Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
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5.31College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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11.59Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Hawaii3.360.0%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.0%1st Place
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8.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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9.89Yale University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
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9.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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10.53Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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9.38Brown University3.520.0%1st Place
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9.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.0%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Naval Academy3.500.0%1st Place
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14.38University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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8.78Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Roble | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Sydney Bolger | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Maxwell | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Allison Blecher | 16.4% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| Megan Magill | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Lihan | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% |
| Caroline Patten | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Mayumi Roller | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| Christina Pryne | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Christina Baker | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 15.2% | 36.3% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.