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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.16+9.32vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+4.35vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.25+3.90vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.65+5.01vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.89+3.01vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.03+1.92vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.73-1.62vs Predicted
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8Columbia University1.99+2.81vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-3.20vs Predicted
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10University of Florida2.50-0.57vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University4.01-6.27vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.38-5.49vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.15-5.60vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.85-5.54vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.54-0.70vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.13-0.95vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-1.51-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.32Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.1%1st Place
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6.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.250.1%1st Place
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9.01SUNY Maritime College2.650.0%1st Place
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8.01Cornell University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.92Boston University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.38University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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10.81Columbia University1.990.0%1st Place
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5.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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9.43University of Florida2.500.0%1st Place
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4.73Old Dominion University4.010.2%1st Place
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6.51U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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7.4Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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8.46University of Wisconsin2.850.0%1st Place
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14.3McGill University0.540.0%1st Place
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15.05Princeton University0.130.0%1st Place
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16.63University of Connecticut-1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryann Hall | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 9.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Gary Herring | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Liberty | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dan Crouch Crouch | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Andrews | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olin Davis | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Croll | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 18.3% | 13.0% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Louis Padnos | 8.3% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Wright | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 15.7% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Vann | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Fox | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Fohl | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 32.2% | 32.0% | 6.9% |
| Eleanor Elbert | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 21.9% | 47.3% | 12.6% |
| Doug Harrison | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 12.9% | 79.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.