← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Olin College of Engineering-0.96+5.19vs Predicted
-
2Fairfield University0.59+1.09vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University0.46-0.16vs Predicted
-
4Middlebury College-0.37+0.96vs Predicted
-
5Bates College-0.65+0.09vs Predicted
-
6McGill University-0.73-0.18vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-0.19vs Predicted
-
8Bentley University-0.45-2.81vs Predicted
-
9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.82-0.86vs Predicted
-
10Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.01-1.53vs Predicted
-
11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.51-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.19Olin College of Engineering-0.965.6%1st Place
-
3.09Fairfield University0.5923.5%1st Place
-
2.84Salve Regina University0.4628.0%1st Place
-
4.96Middlebury College-0.3710.2%1st Place
-
5.09Bates College-0.659.7%1st Place
-
5.82McGill University-0.736.0%1st Place
-
6.81University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.8%1st Place
-
5.19Bentley University-0.458.4%1st Place
-
8.14Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.821.8%1st Place
-
8.47Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.011.8%1st Place
-
9.38University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.511.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Ely | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 23.5% | 22.8% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 28.0% | 23.6% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Penelope Weekes | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Greta Shuster | 9.7% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Curtis Mallory | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Kai Latham | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 5.9% |
| John O'Connell | 8.4% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Jessica Elmhurst | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 23.3% | 17.6% |
| Jason Dank | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 22.7% | 23.9% |
| Sara Donahue | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 20.5% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.