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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+5.45vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.65+6.49vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+4.39vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.05+6.93vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.56+3.98vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.19vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.76+1.33vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.19vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-2.50vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-3.98vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.84-3.10vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-2.84vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.36-3.33vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.33-4.30vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.45-5.54vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.49Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.93Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.98Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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5.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.33Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.5Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.02University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.9Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.16Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.67Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.46Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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13.02Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Amina Brown | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 15.7% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Marly Isler | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% |
| Emily Petno | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 5.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 15.8% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.