Race 3B

reed

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Alexandra Maurillo 3.7% 5.3% 5.9% 6.7% 5.5% 5.4% 6.0% 6.3% 5.8% 6.8% 7.4% 5.9% 9.5% 5.9% 9.3% 4.6%
Dana Rohde 12.4% 13.8% 10.2% 10.6% 7.7% 8.2% 7.0% 5.8% 6.1% 5.2% 4.3% 3.9% 1.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Marly Isler 6.3% 6.5% 5.0% 7.4% 7.1% 6.8% 5.3% 7.9% 6.8% 6.9% 6.4% 8.6% 6.8% 5.0% 4.2% 3.0%
Courtney Koos 4.1% 5.4% 5.9% 6.0% 4.3% 6.2% 6.1% 6.6% 5.3% 5.9% 6.9% 8.3% 9.1% 6.9% 8.2% 4.8%
Victoria McGruer 2.7% 2.9% 3.2% 2.4% 4.3% 4.0% 5.7% 3.9% 4.7% 5.1% 7.9% 7.3% 8.8% 9.6% 14.0% 13.5%
Emily Petno 4.1% 3.7% 5.1% 5.6% 5.2% 7.1% 5.0% 6.8% 5.7% 5.9% 7.5% 6.9% 6.0% 10.8% 7.7% 6.9%
Sarah Hermus 12.3% 10.0% 9.5% 9.6% 8.7% 6.8% 8.3% 6.8% 6.7% 5.8% 5.3% 3.4% 3.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.5%
Taylor Gavula 5.8% 5.8% 6.9% 5.2% 6.1% 6.0% 6.1% 7.2% 7.0% 7.0% 6.4% 7.2% 6.2% 7.8% 5.7% 3.6%
Kelsey Shakin 3.9% 4.1% 5.1% 3.5% 5.9% 4.0% 6.1% 5.7% 6.1% 8.4% 6.5% 6.9% 7.7% 8.8% 8.8% 8.5%
Isabella Loosbrock 9.7% 7.8% 7.6% 9.2% 8.2% 8.5% 9.4% 8.9% 6.9% 6.5% 4.1% 3.3% 4.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.8%
Lydia Grasberger 7.4% 6.2% 5.9% 7.1% 7.2% 6.4% 7.3% 5.5% 8.4% 6.6% 6.6% 6.8% 6.1% 6.1% 4.6% 1.8%
Lindsey Baab 9.9% 10.1% 9.0% 8.5% 9.3% 8.4% 4.5% 5.7% 7.3% 6.0% 5.8% 6.5% 3.2% 3.2% 1.3% 1.3%
Annie Hughes 5.3% 5.6% 6.8% 6.3% 5.6% 7.4% 7.2% 7.6% 6.4% 7.5% 7.3% 6.1% 7.0% 5.4% 6.0% 2.5%
Kate Shaner 4.3% 3.5% 5.2% 3.4% 5.0% 6.0% 5.4% 5.7% 6.2% 6.4% 7.2% 7.4% 8.2% 9.9% 8.5% 7.7%
Amina Brown 6.8% 7.6% 7.5% 7.1% 7.7% 6.4% 8.3% 7.5% 7.2% 5.3% 7.4% 6.8% 6.0% 4.9% 2.9% 0.6%
Jennifer Killian 1.3% 1.7% 1.2% 1.4% 2.2% 2.4% 2.3% 2.1% 3.4% 4.7% 3.0% 4.7% 6.2% 8.3% 15.3% 39.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.