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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.76+7.08vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+4.51vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+2.95vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+3.56vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.05+5.86vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.20+0.68vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65+1.71vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.33+1.67vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.45+0.26vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.84-2.03vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.50-1.85vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.64vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.36-3.37vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-8.41vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-2.02vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.56-6.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.08Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.51Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.95University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.56University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.86Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.68Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.71Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.26Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.97Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.15Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.63Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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5.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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12.98Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marly Isler | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Amina Brown | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 13.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.2% |
| Emily Petno | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 14.9% | 40.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.