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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.96+6.24vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.56+6.78vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.35vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+2.70vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.45+4.37vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+1.97vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-0.92vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.20-1.60vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.65-0.49vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.05+0.88vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-5.31vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.50-2.85vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.67-4.58vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.33-4.33vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.36-5.19vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.78Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.7Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.37Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.97Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.4Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.51Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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10.88Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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5.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.15Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.42Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.81Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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12.98Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amina Brown | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Emily Petno | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.2% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 7.3% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.