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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+5.43vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.66vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.05+7.80vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.84+4.03vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.67+3.52vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.56+2.99vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.33+2.88vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.65+0.43vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-3.10vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.50-0.75vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.71vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-4.58vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.45-3.71vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.20-7.62vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.36-5.24vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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5.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.8Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.03Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.52Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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8.99Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.88Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.43Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.9University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.25Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.29Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.38Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.76Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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12.99Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.6% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 13.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 13.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Amina Brown | 8.3% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Emily Petno | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 6.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.