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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.67+7.36vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.36+7.53vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+2.95vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.79vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.45+4.39vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+2.65vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.20-0.33vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.50+0.99vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.33+0.70vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.60vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-3.58vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.84-4.08vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.05-2.20vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.20-7.61vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.56-5.97vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.36Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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9.53Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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5.95University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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5.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.39Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.65Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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6.67Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.99Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.42University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.92Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.8Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.39Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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13.01Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Emily Petno | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Amina Brown | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 15.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 17.6% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.