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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+6.74vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.67+6.37vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.36+6.69vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+2.10vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.45+4.36vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+0.61vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.05+3.82vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.50+1.02vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.20-2.50vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65-1.29vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.96-3.61vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.64vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.33-3.23vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.56-5.26vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-9.22vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.37Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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9.69Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.1University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.36Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.61Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.82Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.02Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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6.5Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.71Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.74Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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13.02Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Emily Petno | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 14.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Amina Brown | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 16.3% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.