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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.58vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+3.87vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+3.55vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.67+4.63vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.84+2.87vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.56+3.01vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.33+2.92vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.45+1.22vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.50+0.08vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-2.55vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.20-4.43vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.05-1.26vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.73vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.65-5.55vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-1.98vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.36-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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5.87University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.55Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.63Yale University2.670.0%1st Place
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7.87Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.01Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.92Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.22Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.08Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.57Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.74Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.45Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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13.02Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.77Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% |
| Emily Petno | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% |
| Amina Brown | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 13.9% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 14.3% | 40.7% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.