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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+7.45vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+5.35vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.45+6.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.83vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.36+4.73vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+1.98vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-0.92vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-1.59vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.74vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.33-0.06vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.20-4.39vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.05-1.23vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.50-3.88vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.56-5.18vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.76-6.71vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.45Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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7.35University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.35Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.73Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.98Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.41Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.94Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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6.61Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.77Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.12Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.82Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.29Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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13.0Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| Amina Brown | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Emily Petno | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.5% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 6.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 15.2% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Marly Isler | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 39.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.