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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.46+1.79vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.59+1.11vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08+3.83vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.45+1.13vs Predicted
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5Bates College-0.65+0.18vs Predicted
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6Olin College of Engineering-0.96+0.23vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.37-1.98vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.73-2.30vs Predicted
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9Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.82-0.85vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.01-1.51vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.51-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Salve Regina University0.4629.2%1st Place
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3.11Fairfield University0.5924.8%1st Place
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6.83University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.084.4%1st Place
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5.13Bentley University-0.458.8%1st Place
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5.18Bates College-0.657.5%1st Place
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6.23Olin College of Engineering-0.965.5%1st Place
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5.02Middlebury College-0.378.9%1st Place
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5.7McGill University-0.736.5%1st Place
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8.15Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.821.9%1st Place
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8.49Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.011.5%1st Place
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9.38University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.511.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 29.2% | 24.1% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Vitiello | 24.8% | 20.2% | 18.6% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kai Latham | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 5.2% |
| John O'Connell | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Greta Shuster | 7.5% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Benjamin Ely | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Penelope Weekes | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Curtis Mallory | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Jessica Elmhurst | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 18.4% | 22.8% | 16.9% |
| Jason Dank | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 14.9% | 24.9% | 23.1% |
| Sara Donahue | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 18.6% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.