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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.60vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+5.82vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.33+6.83vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+2.75vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+1.02vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.20+0.67vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.65+1.66vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.96-0.73vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56-0.12vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.56vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.76-2.82vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.05-1.27vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.45-3.69vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.50-4.96vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-1.99vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.36-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.82Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.83Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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6.75Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.02University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.67Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.66Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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8.88Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.18Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.73Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.31Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.04Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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13.01Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.8Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Amina Brown | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Marly Isler | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 15.4% | 13.9% |
| Emily Petno | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 40.6% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.