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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.56vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+4.47vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+2.90vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.36+5.83vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+1.61vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96+1.49vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.33+2.89vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.84-0.26vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.50+0.06vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65-1.36vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.69vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.05-1.27vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.44-3.63vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.76-5.98vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.45-5.57vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.47Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.9University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.83Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.61Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.89Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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7.74Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.06Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.64Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.73Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.37Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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8.02Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.43Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.98Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 11.9% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 7.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Amina Brown | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.2% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 15.2% |
| Mary Paz | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% |
| Marly Isler | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Emily Petno | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 4.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.