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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.52vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+4.47vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+4.38vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.50+5.29vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.33vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.33+3.83vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.84+0.97vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-1.60vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.44+0.35vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65-1.37vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.45-1.70vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-5.99vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.76-4.88vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.36-4.44vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-2.03vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.05-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.47Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.29Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.83Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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7.97Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.4Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.35Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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8.63Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.3Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.12Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.56Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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12.97Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.88Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 11.8% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Amina Brown | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 5.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Kate Shaner | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Mary Paz | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Emily Petno | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Marly Isler | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 40.2% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 12.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.