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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+7.41vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+3.58vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.67+5.45vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+2.06vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.36+4.73vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+0.64vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.43vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.84-0.31vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.96-1.69vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.20-3.44vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.33-1.27vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.44-2.67vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.39-0.14vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.45-4.83vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.05-4.11vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.50-6.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.41Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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5.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.45Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.73Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.64Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.69Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.31University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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6.56Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.73Tufts University2.330.0%1st Place
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9.33Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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12.86Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.17Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.89Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.17Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 4.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 12.6% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.8% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Amina Brown | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Kate Shaner | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% |
| Mary Paz | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 37.9% |
| Emily Petno | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 13.4% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.