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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+1.22vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.50+1.67vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.16+1.30vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.28+0.11vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.42-1.11vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.60-0.87vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.82-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Georgetown University3.530.4%1st Place
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3.67Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.3Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.11George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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3.89U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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5.13George Washington University1.600.1%1st Place
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4.68Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 42.4% | 22.6% | 17.0% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Alec Chicoine | 12.2% | 18.7% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 6.6% |
| Noah Kelleher | 9.2% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 15.3% |
| Colin Kennedy | 11.0% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 12.3% |
| James Morgan | 10.5% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 9.5% |
| Marie Line | 6.2% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 19.7% | 33.6% |
| Anders Hudson | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 21.0% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.