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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+1.22vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.28+2.05vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.83vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.16+0.32vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.60+0.19vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.50-2.27vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.82-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Georgetown University3.530.4%1st Place
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4.05George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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3.83U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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4.32Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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5.19George Washington University1.600.0%1st Place
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3.73Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.66Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 41.0% | 24.9% | 16.4% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Colin Kennedy | 10.3% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 11.6% |
| James Morgan | 11.7% | 15.1% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 8.9% |
| Noah Kelleher | 10.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 15.2% |
| Marie Line | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 20.2% | 33.9% |
| Alec Chicoine | 13.7% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 7.7% |
| Anders Hudson | 8.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 20.7% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.