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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+1.09vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.50+1.49vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.82+1.64vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.60+1.01vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.28-1.09vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.60-1.05vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.16-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Georgetown University3.530.5%1st Place
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3.49Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.64Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.01U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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3.91George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.95George Washington University1.600.1%1st Place
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3.91Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 45.0% | 24.1% | 15.5% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Alec Chicoine | 13.7% | 19.9% | 19.6% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 5.3% |
| Anders Hudson | 6.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 19.8% | 19.6% |
| Spencer Nora | 5.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 21.9% | 28.0% |
| Colin Kennedy | 10.6% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 9.6% |
| Marie Line | 6.6% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 21.3% | 27.4% |
| Noah Kelleher | 12.9% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 19.0% | 12.7% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.