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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+1.10vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.28+1.80vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.82+1.64vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.16+0.11vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.50-1.44vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.60-1.07vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.60-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Georgetown University3.530.4%1st Place
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3.8George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.64Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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4.11Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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3.56Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.93U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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4.86George Washington University1.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 44.1% | 24.8% | 16.8% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Colin Kennedy | 10.8% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 19.2% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 7.7% |
| Anders Hudson | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 19.4% | 20.0% |
| Noah Kelleher | 10.6% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 11.8% |
| Alec Chicoine | 12.4% | 20.3% | 19.2% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 5.8% |
| Spencer Nora | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 19.3% | 28.0% |
| Marie Line | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 21.0% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.