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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+1.24vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.16+2.31vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.82+1.91vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.50-0.20vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.42-1.02vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.88-1.21vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.28-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24Georgetown University3.530.4%1st Place
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4.31Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.91Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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3.8Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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3.98U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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4.79George Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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3.98George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 41.0% | 23.3% | 17.6% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Noah Kelleher | 8.6% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 14.5% |
| Anders Hudson | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 21.0% | 27.3% |
| Alec Chicoine | 12.8% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 8.4% |
| James Morgan | 10.9% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 11.9% |
| Samuel Mandell | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 26.3% |
| Colin Kennedy | 13.0% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 14.3% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.