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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.59+2.18vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.46+0.73vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.45+2.13vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.65+1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08+1.83vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.37-1.09vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.73-1.23vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering-0.96-1.69vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.01-0.46vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.82-1.79vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.51-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18Fairfield University0.5923.0%1st Place
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2.73Salve Regina University0.4630.3%1st Place
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5.13Bentley University-0.457.6%1st Place
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5.07Bates College-0.658.2%1st Place
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6.83University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.9%1st Place
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4.91Middlebury College-0.379.5%1st Place
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5.77McGill University-0.736.7%1st Place
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6.31Olin College of Engineering-0.965.9%1st Place
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8.54Wentworth Institute of Technology-2.012.1%1st Place
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8.21Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.822.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.510.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Vitiello | 23.0% | 21.3% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 30.3% | 23.4% | 17.8% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Greta Shuster | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Kai Latham | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 5.2% |
| Penelope Weekes | 9.5% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Curtis Mallory | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Benjamin Ely | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 3.4% |
| Jason Dank | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 25.1% | 24.6% |
| Jessica Elmhurst | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 21.3% | 18.6% |
| Sara Donahue | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 19.1% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.