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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+1.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.42+1.89vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.50+0.79vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.28+0.18vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.88-0.18vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.82-1.12vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.16-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Georgetown University3.530.4%1st Place
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3.89U. S. Naval Academy2.420.1%1st Place
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3.79Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.18George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.82George Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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4.88Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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4.16Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 40.6% | 23.4% | 16.6% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| James Morgan | 11.5% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 10.1% |
| Alec Chicoine | 12.5% | 17.2% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 8.9% |
| Colin Kennedy | 10.7% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 13.3% |
| Samuel Mandell | 6.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 18.7% | 26.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 6.8% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 18.3% | 28.2% |
| Noah Kelleher | 11.7% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 17.3% | 18.3% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.