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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+1.09vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.60+2.97vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.50+0.51vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.60+1.03vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.28-1.11vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.16-1.94vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.82-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09Georgetown University3.530.4%1st Place
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4.97U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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3.51Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.03George Washington University1.600.1%1st Place
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3.89George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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4.06Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.44Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 43.6% | 26.4% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| Spencer Nora | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 28.5% |
| Alec Chicoine | 14.4% | 18.6% | 20.1% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 5.9% |
| Marie Line | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 20.7% | 28.4% |
| Colin Kennedy | 10.8% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 8.2% |
| Noah Kelleher | 10.5% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 10.8% |
| Anders Hudson | 9.8% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 19.3% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.