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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.28+2.84vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.50+1.50vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.53-0.97vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.60+1.03vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.16-0.88vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.82-1.38vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy1.60-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84George Washington University2.280.1%1st Place
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3.5Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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2.03Georgetown University3.530.4%1st Place
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5.03George Washington University1.600.1%1st Place
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4.12Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.62Christopher Newport University1.820.1%1st Place
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4.86U. S. Naval Academy1.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Kennedy | 12.3% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 20.0% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 9.7% |
| Alec Chicoine | 14.9% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 19.5% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 5.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 44.7% | 27.5% | 15.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Marie Line | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 16.8% | 20.8% | 28.7% |
| Noah Kelleher | 9.4% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 15.2% | 10.9% |
| Anders Hudson | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 19.9% |
| Spencer Nora | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 21.4% | 25.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.